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Posts tagged probabilistic

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LLMs1 min read

AuditForecast: Structured Probabilistic Forecasting for Agents

AuditForecast is a new agentic scaffold that improves forecasting accuracy and auditability by structuring the forecasting process with explicit evidence aggregation and probability updates. It outperforms existing agentic baselines and expensive deep-research agents while maintaining a favorable cost-accuracy tradeoff.

From arXiv cs.CL

Research1 min read

PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN: Probabilistic Trajectory Forecasting

PGP-Clinical-TimeKAN forecasts clinical trajectories using a novel framework combining missingness-aware encoding and a soft organ-system prior. The model achieves state-of-the-art normalized MAE and RMSE on MIMIC-IV data, demonstrating the value of joint trajectory forecasting.

From arXiv cs.AI

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